Wednesday, January 23, 2008

GIANTS TO WIN SUPER BOWL OR BEAT SPREAD BY FARLEY MALORRUS

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Everything I feel (& My Astrological Enclave) tells me GIANTS to WIN SUPER BOWL, or at least BEAT 14 Point Spread...Go Eli.....Also, Giants Defense, Creams Brady's Ankle, Film at 11. By Farley Malorrus
Moon Wobble all of February equals Moon Wobble Super Bowl or Disappointment for Patriots Nation...
DURING THE CURRENT FEBRUARY MOON WOBBLE, I have to FAVOR TAKING THE 14 POINTS (BUY 1/2 if you need to), and the fact TOM BRADY HAS A BAD ANKLE and the GIANTS DEFENSE Will be keying on that.....ALSO, NEPTUNE IN AQUARIUS GOES AGAINST LEOS during AQUARIUS TIME, when LEOS NORMALLY have tons of stress, BRADY being the Resident LEO...14 Points is Way too much in my opinion, but Don't let me sway you on whom to bet...
Here's more from Greg Coselle from the SPORTING NEWS on why the GIANTS WILL WIN THE SUPER BOWL, or at least beat the spread. "You know, I don't care WHOM you are, it's tough to win 18 or 19 games in the NFL...and The GIANTS Almost beat these guys in New England..
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Defense will make the Giants champions

By Greg Cosell - SportingNews

Greg Cosell
SportingNews.com

On the final weekend of December, with an undefeated regular season on the line, New England came from behind in the fourth quarter to beat the Giants, 38-35. But don't let the Patriots' perfect season blind you to the fact it was a hard-fought, tightly contested game featuring two evenly matched teams.

The Giants almost saddled the Patriots with their first loss and are quite capable of doing so in Super Bowl 42. It says here, they will.

It was the Giants' defense that was mostly responsible for the three-point loss. One glaring statistic, and a very important one, was the number of plays run by New England: 69 to the Giants' 52. Discounting four kneeldowns by Tom Brady, the Patriots had 43 called passes and 22 called runs. That's 66 percent pass, which has been the Patriots' M.O. in almost every game this season.

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Brady completed 32 passes against the Giants, 11 to Wes Welker and eight to Kevin Faulk. Welker and Faulk are the two most critical components of the Patriots' offense. When you throw the ball as much as New England does, the sustaining elements of the passing gameare much more important than the big-play feature. It's Welker and Faulk who generate the week-to-week consistency of this predominantly one-dimensional offense, not Randy Moss.

Moss, however, was a key factor against the Giants. He caught six passes for 100 yards and two touchdowns, including a 65-yarder in the fourth quarter that gave New England the lead. It came on a third-and-10 in which the Giants blew the coverage and Moss ran free down the sideline. Brady, well protected against a blitz, calmly hit Moss in stride. That's the brilliance of Brady and the Patriots' offense. You make a mistake, they exploit it.

It was not surprising the play came against a blitz. Under defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo, the Giants are an attacking defense that has blitzed on more than 35 percent of all called passes this season, including the three playoff wins. In that December 29 matchup against New England, Brady scorched the Giants' blitz, completing 14 of 18 for 174 yards and two touchdowns. His QB rating against the blitz was 144.0.

Let's spin this forward to February 3 in Arizona. The Giants' aggressive approach is the right one against Brady and the Patriots' passing game, regardless of what happened a month ago. They must challenge New England's offensive line both mentally and physically. It's a smart, cohesive group that understands pressures and adjustments, but it lacks premier athleticism and movement.

Spagnuolo will make the linemen think and react on the move. Even though the result did not reflect it, the Giants did an excellent job mixing fronts, pressures and coverages in that first game. They at times broke down the Patriots' protections both by winning individual matchups and with scheme and design. There is a lot to build on for Spagnuolo, and he will not be passive.

The counterargument, of course, is that Brady is so good in the pocket sensing and feeling pressure that he more often than not compensates for the limitations of his line. That was critical in the first matchup, given the number of times the Giants' pressure was a factor.

The outcome of Super Bowl 42 will hinge most directly on the ability of the Giants to consistently pressure Brady. There is no doubt in my mind that Bill Belichick is focusing first and foremost on pass protection in his preparation.

He knows that the Giants' two safeties, James Butler and Gibril Wilson, lack range in coverage and can be attacked and beaten at the intermediate and deeper levels. Butler, in particular, is a weak link as a coverage safety. He simply can't run very well, and he will be targeted by the Patriots through the use of personnel and formations.

One other point about Brady. He is the best there is at manipulating and moving defenders to create passing lanes to deliver the football. The Giants' secondary at times struggled with that, allowing Brady to move them with shoulder rolls and pump fakes. Those mistakes are correctable, and Spagnuolo will instruct his backs to maintain their coverage responsibilities until Brady releases the ball. It's about discipline.

Expect the Giants to match up with six defensive backs when the Patriots go with their three- and four-wide receiver packages. Safety Michael Johnson has become a significant contributor as the dime player, aligning primarily as a linebacker, but clearly bringing more speed and quickness to the defense.

Don't be misled by the Patriots' running game out of two- and three-tight end personnel in the AFC championship game; they don't want to play that way. They took that approach only because they were not having success throwing the ball, and because Brady tweaked his ankle late in the first quarter. They are a passing team, and in the controlled climate of Glendale, Ariz., they will align with Brady in the shotgun and toss the ball around. Don't be surprised if the no-huddle is a significant part of their approach.

It's a prolific passing game, but the Giants can handle it. It will come down to two things: pressure and coverage discipline. I think they'll have both things covered and will make enough plays to raise the Vince Lombardi Trophy in the desert.


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